Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Italy5 - 2N. Macedonia
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Italy and North Macedonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Friday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group C clash with North Macedonia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: England 3-1 Italy
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | England | 6 | 16 | 16 |
2 | Ukraine | 7 | 3 | 13 |
3 | Italy | 6 | 4 | 10 |
4 | North Macedonia | 6 | -7 | 7 |
5 | Malta | 7 | -16 | 0 |
Last Game: N. Macedonia 3-1 Armenia
Tuesday, October 17 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, October 17 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | England | 6 | 16 | 16 |
2 | Ukraine | 7 | 3 | 13 |
3 | Italy | 6 | 4 | 10 |
4 | North Macedonia | 6 | -7 | 7 |
5 | Malta | 7 | -16 | 0 |
We said: Italy 2-0 North Macedonia
Proving to be one of Italy's bogey teams down the years, North Macedonia have never failed to score against their more esteemed counterparts and should play with the shackles off on Friday, having already been condemned to their fate. However, the Lynxes' luck against the Euro 2020 holders is sure to run out soon, and with the Olimpico crowd behind them, we can only picture the Azzurri coming up trumps, thus giving themselves a crucial injection of confidence ahead of Monday's crunch clash with the Ukrainians. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 70.63%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 10.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.43%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.
Result | ||
Italy | Draw | North Macedonia |
70.63% ( 0.36) | 18.45% ( -0.42) | 10.91% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 44.58% ( 1.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.17% ( 1.92) | 45.83% ( -1.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.85% ( 1.79) | 68.15% ( -1.79) |
Italy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.28% ( 0.65) | 11.72% ( -0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.15% ( 1.38) | 36.85% ( -1.38) |
North Macedonia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.5% ( 1.32) | 49.5% ( -1.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.69% ( 0.91) | 84.31% ( -0.91) |
Score Analysis |
Italy 70.62%
North Macedonia 10.91%
Draw 18.45%
Italy | Draw | North Macedonia |
2-0 @ 13.33% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 12.43% ( -0.7) 3-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.23) 4-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.17) 5-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.22% Total : 70.62% | 1-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.61% Total : 18.45% | 0-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 10.91% |
How you voted: Italy vs N. Macedonia
Italy
82.0%Draw
13.5%North Macedonia
4.5%89
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 6, 2017 7.45pm
Oct 9, 2016 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-24 10:05:37
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Arsenal | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 22 |
5 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Aston Villa | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Fulham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Brentford | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 17 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Bournemouth | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Everton | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 9 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
Ruben rejected: Man United's 'unsuccessful feeler' for Real Madrid star revealed
2
Sunday's Premier League predictions including Ipswich Town vs. Man United
3
Out of this world: Arsenal to make 'astronomical' bid for Serie A star?
4
Throw him to the Lions? Zirkzee 'has five escape routes' from Man Utd
5
Defensive trio to miss out: Arsenal injury, suspension list for Sporting clash
6
Will Doku, Dias return? Man City injury list for Feyenoord clash
7
Sunday's La Liga predictions including Leganes vs. Real Madrid
8
Sunday's Eredivisie predictions including Ajax vs. PEC Zwolle
9
Sunday's Ligue 1 predictions including Lille vs. Rennes
10
Sunday's Bundesliga predictions including Borussia Monchengladbach vs. St Pauli
Sport News 24/7