MX23RW : Monday, November 25 07:05:03| >> :600:3671177:3671177:
North Macedonia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Malta national football team

N. Macedonia
2 - 1
Malta

Elmas (66'), Churlinov (72')
Bardhi (45+3'), Alioski (47'), Miovski (60'), Atanasov (90+7')
Milevski (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yankam (85')
Kristensen (44'), Teuma (63'), Borg (89'), Attard (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between North Macedonia and Malta, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: N. Macedonia 1-3 Azerbaijan
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Malta 0-1 Rep. Ireland
Sunday, November 20 at 7pm in International Friendlies

We said: North Macedonia 3-1 Malta

A fresh start in 2023 should see North Macedonia back to winning ways on the opening day of their Group C campaign. While Malta have made some steps in the right direction of late, the home side have much more quality to call upon - not to mention experience at the top level. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Malta had a probability of 12.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.

Result
North MacedoniaDrawMalta
67.06% (1.757 1.76) 20.15% (-0.407 -0.41) 12.79% (-1.349 -1.35)
Both teams to score 45.12% (-2.351 -2.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.61% (-1.183 -1.18)48.39% (1.183 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.48% (-1.088 -1.09)70.52% (1.089 1.09)
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.5% (0.158 0.16)13.5% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.47% (0.316 0.32)40.53% (-0.317 -0.32)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.16% (-2.818 -2.82)47.84% (2.818 2.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.89% (-2.164 -2.16)83.11% (2.164 2.16)
Score Analysis
    North Macedonia 67.06%
    Malta 12.79%
    Draw 20.15%
North MacedoniaDrawMalta
2-0 @ 12.94% (0.76 0.76)
1-0 @ 12.93% (0.7 0.7)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-0 @ 8.64% (0.556 0.56)
3-1 @ 6.37% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 4.33% (0.302 0.3)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.226 -0.23)
5-0 @ 1.73% (0.13 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 67.06%
1-1 @ 9.54% (-0.233 -0.23)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.31 0.31)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.361 -0.36)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 20.15%
0-1 @ 4.76% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-2 @ 3.52% (-0.383 -0.38)
0-2 @ 1.76% (-0.203 -0.2)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 12.79%

How you voted: N. Macedonia vs Malta

North Macedonia
80.7%
Draw
12.8%
Malta
6.4%
109
rhs 2.0
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