We said: North Macedonia 3-0 Gibraltar
Seeking to close out an underwhelming quartet of June fixtures with a resounding victory, North Macedonia should certainly secure maximum points at home in Skopje, as their opponents tend to struggle when away from the Rock.
With a sizeable advantage in terms of top-level experience and technical ability, the hosts should already have victory wrapped up before easing off in the final stages.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 15.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.13%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.
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