World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2021 at 5pm UK
N. Macedonia3 - 1Iceland
Alioski (7'), Elmas (65', 87')
Dimitrievski (29'), Kostadinov (45+1'), Elmas (73'), Miovski (83'), Ristovski (85')
Dimitrievski (29'), Kostadinov (45+1'), Elmas (73'), Miovski (83'), Ristovski (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dagur Thorsteinsson (54')
Ingi Bjarnason (29'), Teitur Thordarson (64'), Bergmann Johannesson (68'), Aron Gudjohnsen (72')
Bergmann Johannesson (79')
Ingi Bjarnason (29'), Teitur Thordarson (64'), Bergmann Johannesson (68'), Aron Gudjohnsen (72')
Bergmann Johannesson (79')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| North Macedonia | Draw | Iceland |
| 50.15% | 25.57% | 24.27% |
| Both teams to score 49.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
