CONCACAF Nations League | Semi-Finals
Mar 20, 2025 at 11pm UK
Masafi Stadium
USA0 - 1Panama
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: USA 3-0 Costa Rica
Thursday, January 23 at 12am in International Friendlies
Thursday, January 23 at 12am in International Friendlies
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uruguay | 3 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | Panama | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | USA | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Bolivia | 3 | -9 | 0 |
We said: USA 3-2 Panama
The Panamanians have rarely made it easy on the Americans lately, but we believe their injuries will make them much more vulnerable on the back end, and the Yanks have plenty of firepower that could make them pay. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Panama had a probability of 17.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Panama |
60.03% ( 0.64) | 22.46% ( -0.34) | 17.51% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 49.05% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.94% ( 0.92) | 49.06% ( -0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.86% ( 0.82) | 71.14% ( -0.82) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.06% ( 0.54) | 15.94% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.79% ( 0.97) | 45.21% ( -0.97) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.36% ( 0.19) | 41.64% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.88% ( 0.16) | 78.13% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
USA 60.03%
Panama 17.51%
Draw 22.45%
| USA | Draw | Panama |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.09% Total : 60.03% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.45% | 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.85% Total : 17.51% |
How you voted: USA vs Panama
USA
87.5%Draw
5.0%Panama
7.5%40
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2024 2am
Jul 13, 2023 12.30am
Oct 10, 2021 11pm
