MX23RW : Tuesday, March 25 12:19:38| >> :120:50633:50633:
Serbia national football team
Nations League | Playoffs A/B | 2nd Leg
Mar 23, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadion Rajko Mitic
Austria national football team

Serbia
2 - 0
Austria

Maksimovic (56'), Vlahovic (90')
Maksimovic (17'), Mitrovic (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Schlager (68'), Wimmer (90+5')
Trauner (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Serbia and Austria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Austria 1-1 Serbia
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Austria 1-1 Serbia
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Serbia 2-1 Austria (Serbia to win 3-2 on aggregate)

While there is much to like about Austria under Rangnick, they may feel that they have missed out by only earning a share of the spoils on Thursday. Serbia are now the favourites to retain their spot in League A, and we think that they will do enough to edge this contest in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Serbia win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.

Result
SerbiaDrawAustria
29.55% (-0.201 -0.2) 27.38% (0.103 0.1) 43.07% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 48.06% (-0.394 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.8% (-0.454 -0.45)57.21% (0.46 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.94% (-0.362 -0.36)78.06% (0.36800000000001 0.37)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.21% (-0.393 -0.39)34.79% (0.397 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.48% (-0.42 -0.42)71.52% (0.422 0.42)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69% (-0.157 -0.16)26.31% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.56% (-0.21 -0.21)61.44% (0.216 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Serbia 29.55%
    Austria 43.07%
    Draw 27.38%
SerbiaDrawAustria
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.065 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.81% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.4% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 29.55%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.15% (0.159 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 12.22% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.16% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.63% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 43.07%

How you voted: Serbia vs Austria

Serbia
Draw
Austria
Serbia
50.0%
Draw
17.3%
Austria
32.7%
98
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
Playoffs A/B 1st Leg
Austria
1-1
Serbia
Samardzic (61')
Jun 4, 2024 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Austria
2-1
Serbia
Wimmer (10'), Baumgartner (13')
Arnautovic (7'), Posch (71'), Laimer (83')
Pavlovic (35')
Mitrovic (72')
Oct 6, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Austria
3-2
Serbia
Burgstaller (25'), Arnautovic (76'), Schaub (89')
Milivojevic (11'), Matic (83')
Oct 9, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Serbia
3-2
Austria
Mitrovic (6', 23'), Tadic (74')
Sabitzer (16'), Janko (62')
rhs 2.0
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