MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 12:52:10| >> :600:510821:510821:
Switzerland national football team
Nations League | League A
Nov 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Serbia national football team

Switzerland
1 - 1
Serbia

Amdouni (78')
Xhaka (35'), Embolo (51'), Comert (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Terzic (88')
Terzic (25'), Zivkovic (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Switzerland and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Switzerland 2-2 Denmark
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Spain 3-0 Serbia
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Switzerland 2-2 Serbia

Though Switzerland defeated Serbia at both of the last two World Cups, they lost when these nations most recently met and are enduring an injury crisis. While the Eagles do not travel well, their front line should cause a makeshift Swiss defence plenty of problems on Friday, when a draw would consign the home side to relegation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SwitzerlandDrawSerbia
47.51% (0.12 0.12) 25.74% (-0.029 -0.03) 26.74% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 51.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58% (0.041000000000004 0.04)52.41% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (0.035 0.04)74.09% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93% (0.069999999999993 0.07)22.06% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.59% (0.11000000000001 0.11)55.4% (-0.116 -0.12)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.56% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)34.44% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.85% (-0.061 -0.06)71.15% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Switzerland 47.51%
    Serbia 26.74%
    Draw 25.75%
SwitzerlandDrawSerbia
1-0 @ 11.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.68% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 47.51%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.52% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 26.74%

How you voted: Switzerland vs Serbia

Switzerland
51.6%
Draw
26.6%
Serbia
21.7%
184
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 7.45pm
League A
Serbia
2-0
Switzerland
Elvedi (45+1' og.), Mitrovic (61')
Nedeljkovic (71'), Simic (85'), Samardzic (90+3')

Widmer (23'), Elvedi (44')
Dec 2, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Serbia
2-3
Switzerland
Mitrovic (26'), Vlahovic (35')
Shaqiri (20'), Embolo (44'), Freuler (48')
Jun 22, 2018 7pm
Group Stage
Serbia
1-2
Switzerland
Xhaka (52'), Shaqiri (90')
rhs 2.0
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