We say: Switzerland 2-2 Serbia
Though Switzerland defeated Serbia at both of the last two World Cups, they lost when these nations most recently met and are enduring an injury crisis.
While the Eagles do not travel well, their front line should cause a makeshift Swiss defence plenty of problems on Friday, when a draw would consign the home side to relegation.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Switzerland win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Serbia has a probability of 26.84% and a draw has a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Serbia win is 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.25%).
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