World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Reunification
Uganda1 - 0Guinea
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Uganda and Guinea.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mozambique 3-1 Uganda
Thursday, March 20 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Thursday, March 20 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 41.79%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 28.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uganda in this match.
| Result | ||
| Uganda | Draw | Guinea |
41.79% ( 0.81) | 30.14% ( -0.43) | 28.07% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 40.2% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.35% ( 1.08) | 66.64% ( -1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.97% ( 0.73) | 85.02% ( -0.73) |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( 1.04) | 31.62% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.97% ( 1.19) | 68.03% ( -1.19) |
| Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.79% ( 0.31) | 41.21% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.26% ( 0.27) | 77.74% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
Uganda 41.79%
Guinea 28.07%
Draw 30.14%
| Uganda | Draw | Guinea |
| 1-0 @ 15% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.79% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 13.03% ( -0.53)2-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.14% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.24% Total : 28.07% |
How you voted: Uganda vs Guinea
Uganda
75.0%Draw
12.5%Guinea
12.5%8
Head to Head
Nov 17, 2023 1pm
Group Stage
Guinea
2-1
Uganda
Bayo (30')
Kayondo (37'), Byaruhanga (45'), B. (45'), Awany (60'), Dennis Awany (60'), Sentamu (75')
Kayondo (37'), Byaruhanga (45'), B. (45'), Awany (60'), Dennis Awany (60'), Sentamu (75')
