Uganda1 - 0Botswana
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, March 26 at 4pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Monday, March 25 at 10am in International Friendlies
We said: Uganda 2-0 Botswana
Uganda and Botswana have enjoyed a decent start to the campaign and will be looking to secure their second win in Group G. The Cranes head into the game with a significantly superior squad, and given their home advantage, we fancy them to claim all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Botswana win was 0-1 (12.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uganda in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Uganda.
| Result | ||
| Uganda | Draw | Botswana |
37.38% ( -0.12) | 29.6% ( 0.02) | 33.02% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 43.06% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.06% ( -0.04) | 63.93% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.86% ( -0.02) | 83.14% ( 0.02) |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.1% ( -0.09) | 32.89% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.53% ( -0.1) | 69.47% ( 0.1) |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.16% ( 0.05) | 35.83% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.39% ( 0.05) | 72.61% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uganda | Draw | Botswana |
| 1-0 @ 13.1% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.37% | 1-1 @ 13.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.59% | 0-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 33.01% |
