MX23RW : Thursday, March 27 03:36:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 17
Mar 23, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Etihad Stadium

Man City
1 - 2
Chelsea

Kerolin (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Beever-Jones (49'), Cuthbert (90+1')
Jean-Francois (33'), Bright (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 2-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, March 19 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, March 19 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Manchester City Women 1-1 Chelsea Women

Man City will be looking to build upon Wednesday's successful outing against Chelsea, but we think that they will have to settle for a draw in Sunday's WSL fixture, especially as the Blues have avoided defeat in each of their last 10 matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chelsea Women in this match.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawChelsea Women
34.21% (-0.214 -0.21) 24.39% (-0.029 -0.03) 41.4% (0.244 0.24)
Both teams to score 59.55% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.84% (0.091000000000001 0.09)43.16% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.44% (0.088000000000001 0.09)65.56% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)24.66% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81% (-0.113 -0.11)59.18% (0.113 0.11)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04% (0.15000000000001 0.15)20.96% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.29% (0.237 0.24)53.7% (-0.235 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 34.21%
    Chelsea Women 41.4%
    Draw 24.38%
Manchester City WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 7.91% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.24% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.06% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.21%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.0039999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.38%
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.08% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.31% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.6% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.22% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.4%

How you voted: Man City vs Chelsea

Manchester City Women
Draw
Chelsea Women
Manchester City Women
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Chelsea Women
50.0%
8
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2025 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Man City
2-0
Chelsea
Miedema (60', 88')
Kerolin (77')
Nov 16, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 8
Chelsea
2-0
Man City
Ramirez (75'), Reiten (79')
Bjorn (45+1')

Greenwood (47')
Feb 16, 2024 7.15pm
Gameweek 14
Chelsea
0-1
Man City

Cuthbert (52'), James (84')
Shaw (14')
Kelly (54')
Oct 8, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Man City
1-1
Chelsea
Kelly (7')
Taylor (12'), Greenwood (17'), Aleixandri (38'), Kelly (39'), Roord (45+4'), Hemp (67')
Greenwood (38'), Hemp (81')
Reiten (90+6')
James (11'), Charles (35'), Cankovic (90+8')
Mar 26, 2023 12.40pm
Gameweek 16
Man City
2-0
Chelsea
Angeldal (21'), Hemp (30')
rhs 2.0
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