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Women's Super League | Gameweek 14
Feb 16, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Kingsmeadow

Chelsea Women
0 - 1
Man City Women


Cuthbert (52'), James (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shaw (14')
Kelly (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-0 Everton Ladies
Sunday, February 4 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 2-0 Leicester Women
Sunday, February 4 at 1pm in Women's Super League

We said: Chelsea Women 1-1 Manchester City Women

Chelsea have not dropped points in any of their last 22 home league matches, but we think that the hosts may be held to a draw by a Man City side that heads into Friday's contest off the back of an impressive run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawManchester City Women
40.82% (0.052 0.05) 24.47% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 34.7% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 59.35% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.53% (0.080999999999996 0.08)43.47% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.14% (0.082000000000001 0.08)65.86% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (0.061000000000007 0.06)21.36% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.66% (0.090000000000003 0.09)54.33% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47% (0.021999999999991 0.02)24.52% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41% (0.030000000000001 0.03)58.99% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 40.82%
    Manchester City Women 34.7%
    Draw 24.47%
Chelsea WomenDrawManchester City Women
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.09% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 4.51% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 40.82%
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.24% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 7.36% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.7%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Man City Women

Chelsea Women
59.1%
Draw
18.2%
Manchester City Women
22.7%
22
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Man City Women
1-1
Chelsea Women
Kelly (7')
Taylor (12'), Greenwood (17'), Aleixandri (38'), Kelly (39'), Roord (45+4'), Hemp (67')
Greenwood (38'), Hemp (81')
Reiten (90+6')
James (11'), Charles (35'), Cankovic (90+8')
Mar 26, 2023 12.40pm
Sep 25, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 3
Chelsea Women
2-0
Man City Women
Kirby (42'), Naevdal Mjelde (78' pen.)
May 15, 2022 2.30pm
Final
Chelsea Women
3-2
Man City Women
Kerr (33', 99'), Cuthbert (63')
Carter (81')
Hemp (42'), Raso (89')
Kennedy (31'), Bronze (54')
Feb 6, 2022 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
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