Man City Women2 - 1Aston Villa
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, November 26 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
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Sunday, November 26 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League
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We said: Manchester City Women 3-1 Aston Villa Women
Although Aston Villa have won four of their last five competitive matches, we think that they will fall short against a Man City side that has lost just one of their 23 home league games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 3-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City Women.
Result | ||
Manchester City Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
66.67% ( 0.09) | 17.74% ( -0.06) | 15.59% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 61.44% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.13% ( 0.23) | 30.86% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.77% ( 0.28) | 52.22% ( -0.28) |
Manchester City Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.38% ( 0.08) | 8.62% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.25% ( 0.2) | 29.75% ( -0.2) |
Aston Villa Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.23% ( 0.12) | 32.76% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.67% ( 0.13) | 69.33% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 66.67% | 1-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 17.74% | 1-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 15.59% |
How you voted: Man City Women vs Aston Villa
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Chelsea WomenChelsea | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 6 | 25 | 28 |
2 | Manchester City WomenMan City | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 22 |
3 | Arsenal WomenArsenal | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 21 |
4 | Manchester United WomenMan Utd | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 21 |
5 | Brighton & Hove Albion WomenBrighton | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 |
6 | Tottenham Hotspur WomenSpurs | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 11 |
7 | Aston Villa WomenAston Villa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 9 |
8 | Liverpool WomenLiverpool | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 9 |
9 | Everton WomenEverton | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 9 |
10 | West Ham United WomenWest Ham | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
11 | Leicester City WomenLeicester | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 6 |
12 | Crystal Palace WomenCrystal Palace | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 |
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