Although Aston Villa have struggled this season, their squad is a lot stronger than the results suggest, and we think that they will finally get their campaign up and running with a narrow victory over newly-promoted Bristol City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Bristol City Women win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.

Result
Bristol City Women	Draw	Aston Villa Women
29.79% ( -0.08)	23.01% ( 0.09)	47.19% ( -0)

Both teams to score 62.49% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.55% (

-0.47)

38.44% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.26% (

-0.5)

60.73% (

0.5)

Bristol City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.96% (

-0.29)

25.03% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.29% (

-0.4)

59.7% (

0.4)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.36% (

-0.18)

16.64% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.52% (

-0.33)

46.47% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Bristol City Women 29.79%

Aston Villa Women 47.19%

Draw 23.01%

Bristol City Women	Draw	Aston Villa Women
2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.79%	1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.01%	1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.55% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.35% Total : 47.19%