Arsenal Women2 - 1Aston Villa
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, October 6 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Sunday, October 8 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
We said: Arsenal Women 2-1 Aston Villa Women
Both sides will be desperate to claim maximum points on Sunday, but we think that Aston Villa will be edged out by the Gunners, who will be spurred on by a healthy crowd at the Emirates Stadium. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 64.44%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arsenal Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal Women.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
64.44% ( -0.11) | 19.54% ( 0.06) | 16.02% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.55% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
