Aston Villa claimed a narrow win in the reverse fixture and with the Villa Park crowd spurring them on, we think that the hosts will edge out Liverpool once again to record a victory in their final home game of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Women win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa Women	Draw	Liverpool Women
32.94% ( 0.63)	23.44% ( -0.08)	43.63% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 62.59% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.99% (

0.63)

39% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.67% (

0.66)

61.32% (

-0.66)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.57% (

0.66)

23.42% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.57% (

0.95)

57.42% (

-0.95)

Liverpool Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.74% (

0.03)

18.26% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.69% (

0.05)

49.31% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Women 32.94%

Liverpool Women 43.63%

Draw 23.43%

Aston Villa Women	Draw	Liverpool Women
2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.94%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.43%	1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.68% Total : 43.63%