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Women's Super League | Gameweek 18
Apr 23, 2023 at 2pm UK
 

Liverpool Women
2 - 1
Brighton Women

Holland (54', 70')
Lawley (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Terland (39')
Green (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Liverpool Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 0-0 Liverpool Women
Sunday, April 2 at 5pm in Women's Super League

We said: Liverpool Women 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Women

The two sides were involved in an entertaining 3-3 draw when they met in November, and with Brighton showing greater belief under Phillips, we think that they will be able to pick up a point from Sunday's away meeting with Liverpool. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Women win with a probability of 59.36%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 20.65% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.74%) and 3-1 (7.08%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 (5.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool Women in this match.

Result
Liverpool WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
59.36% (0.201 0.2) 19.99% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 20.65% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 63.33% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.05% (0.191 0.19)32.95% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.33% (0.219 0.22)54.67% (-0.219 -0.22)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.04% (0.11199999999999 0.11)10.95% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.82% (0.244 0.24)35.17% (-0.244 -0.24)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.88% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25%64.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool Women 59.36%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 20.65%
    Draw 19.99%
Liverpool WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.08% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 7% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.7% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.4% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.92% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.43% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.73% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.018 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.08% (0.014 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.01% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 59.36%
1-1 @ 8.69% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.16% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.82% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 19.99%
1-2 @ 5.4% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 3.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 20.65%

Head to Head
Nov 20, 2022 2pm
gameweek 8
Brighton Women
3-3
Liverpool Women
Terland (21'), Carter (26' pen.), Robinson (34')
Bo Kearns (17'), Van de Sanden (76'), Furness (90+2')
Sanchez (53')
Apr 26, 2020 12pm
Jan 5, 2020 2pm
Brighton Women
1-0
Liverpool Women
Whelan (33')
Kerkdijk (55'), Green (72')

Fahey (82'), Robe (92')
Jan 6, 2019 2pm
Liverpool Women
0-2
Brighton Women
Rafferty (34'), Umotong (49')
Barton (35'), Gibbons (52'), Brazil (87')
rhs 2.0
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