Man United have claimed two 4-0 victories against Brighton this season, and we think that the Red Devils will showcase their quality once again to record another comfortable win in Saturday's semi-final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 82.45%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 6.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.23%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-2 (2.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester United Women	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion Women
82.45% ( 0.09)	10.58% ( -0.15)	6.98% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 60.14% (

1.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

80.93% (

1.27)

19.07% (

-1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

63.24% (

1.82)

36.76% (

-1.81)

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.6% (

0.23)

3.41% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

85.08% (

0.77)

14.92% (

-0.76)

Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.26% (

1.39)

37.75% (

-1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.48% (

1.33)

74.52% (

-1.32)

Score Analysis

Manchester United Women 82.45%

Brighton & Hove Albion Women 6.98%

Draw 10.58%

Manchester United Women	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion Women
3-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.37) 3-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.17) 6-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 6-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.13) 5-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.16) 7-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) 6-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.11) 7-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.09) 4-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.09) Other @ 4.54% Total : 82.45%	1-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.3% Total : 10.58%	1-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.53% Total : 6.98%