Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 67.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Lewes Women had a probability of 12.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Lewes Women win it was 1-0 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.