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Women's FA Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium

B'ham Women
0 - 2
Brighton Women


Scott (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pattinson (28'), Carter (32' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's FA Cup clash between Birmingham City Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 B'ham Women
Sunday, May 8 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 1-2 Man City Women
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Birmingham City Women 1-3 Brighton & Hove Albion Women

Although Brighton are winless in seven league games, they have breezed past lower-tier opposition to secure their place in the FA Cup quarter-final, and we think that they will showcase their top-flight quality to progress to the last four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City Women win with a probability of 48%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Women would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
48% (0.184 0.18) 21.82% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 30.18% (-0.207 -0.21)
Both teams to score 67.25% (-0.211 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.68% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)32.31% (0.216 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.07% (-0.256 -0.26)53.93% (0.251 0.25)
Birmingham City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)14.06% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.36% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)41.63% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)21.75% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (-0.348 -0.35)54.93% (0.343 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City Women 48%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 30.18%
    Draw 21.82%
Birmingham City WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 6% (0.066 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.89% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.88% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 1.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 48%
1-1 @ 9.15% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.06% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 30.18%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 2pm
Brighton Women
1-3
B'ham Women
Zigiotti-Olme (84')
Kerkdijk (22'), Le Tissier (74')
Sarri (9'), Quinn (75', 88')
Smith (86')
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
B'ham Women
0-5
Brighton Women
Williams (2'), Kaagman (45+1' pen.), Carter (50'), Koivisto (58'), Green (70')
Symonds (80'), Simpkins (90+5')
Sep 6, 2020 2pm
Brighton Women
2-0
B'ham Women
Connolly (59'), Kaagman (61')

Holloway (66'), Scott (71'), Napier (81'), Mayling (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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