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Women's Super League | Gameweek 21
May 1, 2022 at 6.45pm UK
 

B'ham Women
0 - 1
Chelsea Women


Cowie (35'), Robertson (43'), Scott (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mosegaard-Harder (71' pen.)
Berger (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Birmingham City Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City Women 1-4 Chelsea Women

Birmingham would have taken confidence from their second league victory of the season, but we think that they will struggle to compete with a Chelsea side who are currently in imperious form as they look to retain their league title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 93.64%. A draw had a probability of 5.2% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 1.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 16.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (14.34%) and 0-2 (14.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.37%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 1-0 (0.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City WomenDrawChelsea Women
1.14%5.22%93.64%
Both teams to score 23.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.12%27.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.37%48.63%
Birmingham City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
23.93%76.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
3.13%96.87%
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.88%3.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.06%13.94%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City Women 1.14%
    Chelsea Women 93.63%
    Draw 5.22%
Birmingham City WomenDrawChelsea Women
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 1.14%
0-0 @ 2.37%
1-1 @ 2.25%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 5.22%
0-3 @ 16.53%
0-4 @ 14.34%
0-2 @ 14.28%
0-5 @ 9.96%
0-1 @ 8.23%
0-6 @ 5.76%
1-3 @ 4.52%
1-4 @ 3.93%
1-2 @ 3.91%
0-7 @ 2.86%
1-5 @ 2.73%
1-6 @ 1.58%
0-8 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 93.63%

Head to Head
Nov 21, 2021 2pm
Chelsea Women
5-0
B'ham Women
Kirby (4', 75'), Kerr (18', 29', 44')
Bright (84')

Lawley (63')
Apr 4, 2021 12.30pm
Chelsea Women
6-0
B'ham Women
Kerr (25', 45', 45+3'), Kirby (61', 90+1'), Reiten (73')
Spence (80')

Littlejohn (45+2')
Oct 4, 2020 2.30pm
Feb 12, 2020 7pm
Nov 24, 2019 2.45pm
B'ham Women
0-6
Chelsea Women
So-yun (2'), Bright (37'), England (45', 63'), Spence (48', 52')
rhs 2.0
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