Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Parma1 - 3Atalanta
Cancellieri (49')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Retegui (4'), Ederson (39'), Lookman (75')
Piero Gasperini (54'), Ruggeri (88'), de Roon (90+3')
Piero Gasperini (54')
Piero Gasperini (54'), Ruggeri (88'), de Roon (90+3')
Piero Gasperini (54')
We said: Parma 1-2 Atalanta BC
As Parma (58) and Atalanta (51) have taken the most shots during the first half hour of play this season, scoring 17 goals between them, expect an entertaining start to proceedings at the Tardini. Given their abundance of attacking talent, both sides should score at least once, but La Dea will reign supreme again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Parma had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Atalanta BC |
27.14% ( 1.33) | 24.55% ( -0.24) | 48.3% ( -1.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.18% ( 1.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
