Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Parma1 - 1Empoli
We said: Parma 1-0 Empoli
Parma have posed a threat in most matches since gaining promotion, but hanging on to leads has proved a problem for the Gialloblu this season. As goals seem to be drying up for Empoli, it could be time for the hosts to finally get three points over the line while keeping a precious clean sheet. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Empoli |
49.4% ( 2.67) | 24.54% ( 0.23) | 26.05% ( -2.9) |
| Both teams to score 54.25% ( -3.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
