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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Fiorentina logo

Empoli
0 - 0
Fiorentina

FT

Comuzzo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A derby between Empoli and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-2 Empoli
Tuesday, September 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Lazio
Sunday, September 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Empoli 1-2 Fiorentina

Empoli have defied all the odds to stay undefeated so far, and they should certainly pose Fiorentina some problems in the Derby dell'Arno. However, the Viola can spoil their Azzurri rivals' party by snatching maximum points, having gained confidence from winning last week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawFiorentina
26.47% (-0.952 -0.95) 26.22% (-0.149 -0.15) 47.31% (1.109 1.11)
Both teams to score 49.46% (-0.263 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)54.44% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)75.8% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.24% (-0.779 -0.78)35.76% (0.78400000000001 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.47% (-0.81 -0.81)72.53% (0.81500000000001 0.82)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (0.51899999999999 0.52)23.01% (-0.513 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.19% (0.753 0.75)56.81% (-0.746 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 26.47%
    Fiorentina 47.3%
    Draw 26.22%
EmpoliDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-1 @ 6.39% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-0 @ 4.35% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 26.47%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 12.08% (0.18 0.18)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.88% (0.265 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.35% (0.194 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.063 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.6% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.3%

How you voted: Empoli vs Fiorentina

Empoli
37.2%
Draw
25.5%
Fiorentina
37.2%
94
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 25
Empoli
1-1
Fiorentina
Niang (56' pen.)
Gyasi (1'), Luperto (45+4'), Zurkowski (73')
Beltran (29')
Biraghi (70'), Beltran (82')
Oct 23, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Fiorentina
0-2
Empoli

Beltran (77')
Caputo (21'), Gyasi (81')
Walukiewicz (52'), Cancellieri (71'), Fazzini (79')
Feb 19, 2023 2pm
Aug 21, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Empoli
0-0
Fiorentina
Bandinelli (32')
Luperto (67'), Zanetti (90+10')
Ikone (37'), Maleh (40'), Sottil (73')
Apr 3, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Fiorentina
1-0
Empoli
Gonzalez (58')
Torreira (56')

Luperto (45+3'), Ismajli (81')
Luperto (57')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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