Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
26.47% ( -0.95) | 26.22% ( -0.15) | 47.31% ( 1.11) |
Both teams to score 49.46% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.57% ( 0.01) | 54.44% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.2% ( 0.01) | 75.8% ( 0) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.24% ( -0.78) | 35.76% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.47% ( -0.81) | 72.53% ( 0.82) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.99% ( 0.52) | 23.01% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.19% ( 0.75) | 56.81% ( -0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.97% Total : 26.47% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |