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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Jun 2, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Fiorentina logo

Atalanta
2 - 3
Fiorentina

Lookman (12'), Scalvini (32')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Belotti (6', 45+1'), Gonzalez (19')
Martinez (75'), Ranieri (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Olympiacos 1-0 Fiorentina
Wednesday, May 29 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Fiorentina

Having returned to winning ways in Europe on Thursday, Atalanta are due a Serie A victory after four matches without one, with Gasperini's willingness to freshen his side possibly proving pivotal in Sunday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
39.05% (0.072000000000003 0.07) 26.25% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 34.7% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Both teams to score 53.21% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.6% (0.056999999999995 0.06)51.4% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (0.048999999999999 0.05)73.21% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (0.063000000000002 0.06)25.78% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.27% (0.088000000000001 0.09)60.73% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)28.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.97% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)64.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 39.05%
    Fiorentina 34.7%
    Draw 26.25%
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.7% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 39.05%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.21% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.7%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Fiorentina

Atalanta BC
80.6%
Draw
13.9%
Fiorentina
5.6%
216
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Atalanta
4-1
Fiorentina
Koopmeiners (8'), Scamacca (75'), Lookman (90+4'), Pasalic (90+8')
Kolasinac (56'), Scamacca (80')
Martinez (68')
Mandragora (43'), Dodo (69')
Milenkovic (53')
Apr 3, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Fiorentina
1-0
Atalanta
Mandragora (31')
Mandragora (55'), Kouame (81')

Miranchuk (29'), de Roon (78'), Scamacca (89')
Sep 17, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Fiorentina
3-2
Atalanta
Bonaventura (35'), Martinez (45'), Kouame (76')
Parisi (87')
Koopmeiners (20'), Lookman (53')
de Roon (34'), Zortea (65')
Apr 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Fiorentina
1-1
Atalanta
Cabral (56' pen.)
Maehle (37')
Oct 2, 2022 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli1410222191232
2Atalanta BCAtalanta14101336162031
3Inter Milan1384131141728
4Fiorentina1384127101728
5Lazio1491429171228
6Juventus146802281426
7AC Milan136432314922
8Bologna135621816221
9Udinese145271621-517
10Empoli143741014-416
11Parma143652022-215
12Torino144371620-415
13CagliariCagliari143561524-914
14Genoa143561324-1114
15Roma143471420-613
16Lecce14347722-1513
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1440101733-1612
18Como142571426-1211
19Monza141761217-510
20VeneziaVenezia1422101125-148


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