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Serie A
Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Atalanta logo

Fiorentina
1 - 1
Atalanta

Cabral (56' pen.)
Martinez (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maehle (37')
Maehle (38'), Ederson (60'), Toloi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last Game: Atalanta 0-2 Bologna
Saturday, April 8 at 3.30pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta BC

 With Fiorentina growing in confidence in recent weeks, they will fancy their chances of heaping the pressure on their opponents. However, we are backing Atalanta to bounce back from their defeat last time out, earning a share of the spoils which will at least keep their points tally ticking over. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta BC
47.67% (1.217 1.22) 25.3% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 27.03% (-1.197 -1.2)
Both teams to score 52.69% (-0.827 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57% (-0.662 -0.66)50.43% (0.662 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (-0.588 -0.59)72.36% (0.589 0.59)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.25999999999999 0.26)21.17% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.96% (0.404 0.4)54.04% (-0.404 -0.4)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (-1.274 -1.27)33.15% (1.274 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.24% (-1.429 -1.43)69.75% (1.431 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 47.67%
    Atalanta BC 27.03%
    Draw 25.3%
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.37 0.37)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.073 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.46% (0.354 0.35)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.38% (0.217 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.097 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 47.67%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.186 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.236 -0.24)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 27.03%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Atalanta

Fiorentina
55.8%
Draw
25.6%
Atalanta BC
18.6%
129
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 5pm
Atalanta
1-0
Fiorentina
Lookman (59')

Bonaventura (4')
Feb 20, 2022 11.30am
Fiorentina
1-0
Atalanta
Piatek (56')
Milenkovic (15'), Amrabat (73')

Djimsiti (13'), Malinovskyi (45+1'), Demiral (45+2'), Toloi (74'), Sportiello (90+6')
Piero Gasperini (64')
Feb 10, 2022 5pm
Quarter-Finals
Atalanta
2-3
Fiorentina
Zappacosta (30'), Boga (56')
de Roon (7'), Pasalic (32')
Piatek (9' pen., 71'), Milenkovic (90+3')
Julio (38'), Martinez (45+1')
Martinez (79')
Sep 11, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
1-2
Fiorentina
Zapata (65' pen.)
Maehle (31'), Zapata (45+2'), Gosens (76'), Freuler (86'), Luis Palomino (90+2')
Vlahovic (33' pen., 49')
Bonaventura (45+2'), Julio (56'), Milenkovic (74'), Odriozola (81')
Apr 11, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
2-3
Atalanta
Vlahovic (57', 66')
Pezzella (32'), Amrabat (53'), Milenkovic (72')
Zapata (13', 40'), Ilicic (70' pen.)
Romero (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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