Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu
Sivasspor1 - 4Fiorentina
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cabral (44'), Milenkovic (62'), Goutas (78' og.), Castrovilli (89')
Martinez (65'), Milenkovic (90+2')
Martinez (65'), Milenkovic (90+2')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Istanbulspor 3-0 Sivasspor
Monday, March 13 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Monday, March 13 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Cremonese 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Sivasspor 1-2 Fiorentina
If Fiorentina can replicate anywhere near the same quantity and quality of chances as they did in the first leg while, perhaps just as importantly, snuffing out Sivasspor's counter-attacking threat as effectively, Italiano's side will surely take their winning streak into the Conference League quarter-finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sivasspor | Draw | Fiorentina |
21.92% ( 0.02) | 23.72% ( 0.09) | 54.36% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.25% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
