MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 03:56:31| >> :120:63430:63430:
Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu
Fiorentina logo

Sivasspor
1 - 4
Fiorentina

Yesilyurt (35')
Goutas (63'), Ulvestad (76'), Yesilyurt (90+2')
Arslan (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cabral (44'), Milenkovic (62'), Goutas (78' og.), Castrovilli (89')
Martinez (65'), Milenkovic (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Sivasspor and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sivasspor 1-2 Fiorentina

If Fiorentina can replicate anywhere near the same quantity and quality of chances as they did in the first leg while, perhaps just as importantly, snuffing out Sivasspor's counter-attacking threat as effectively, Italiano's side will surely take their winning streak into the Conference League quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
SivassporDrawFiorentina
21.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 23.72% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 54.36% (-0.109 -0.11)
Both teams to score 52.25% (-0.279 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.58% (-0.381 -0.38)48.42% (0.381 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.44% (-0.349 -0.35)70.55% (0.34800000000001 0.35)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.49% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)36.51% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.7% (-0.202 -0.2)73.3% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)17.71% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64% (-0.313 -0.31)48.36% (0.313 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Sivasspor 21.92%
    Fiorentina 54.35%
    Draw 23.72%
SivassporDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 6.51% (0.067 0.07)
2-1 @ 5.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.28% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 21.92%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 11.19% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.76% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.69% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.63% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 5.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.44% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.42% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 54.35%

How you voted: Sivasspor vs Fiorentina

Sivasspor
21.9%
Draw
9.6%
Fiorentina
68.5%
73
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Fiorentina
1-0
Sivasspor
Barak (69')
Amrabat (58'), Jovic (62'), Cabral (83'), Biraghi (90+1'), Dodo (90+5')

Saiz (42'), Cofie (90+3')
Gradel (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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