UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Oct 27, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Istanbul

Jovic (26', 62')
Milenkovic (32'), Mandragora (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Aleksic (15')
Okaka (34'), Chouiar (39'), Turuc (67')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Fiorentina 3-4 Inter Milan
Saturday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-0 Istanbul
Saturday, October 22 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Istanbul Basaksehir

Fiorentina may have lost in disappointing style in the previous encounter between the two sides, but everything went right on the night for Istanbul Basaksehir, scoring three goals with three shots on target. Viola will be an improved side on home soil, and they are likely to scrape a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 25.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
49.13% ( -0.02)	25.44% ( 0)	25.43% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.9% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.87% (

0.01)

52.12% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.15% (

0.01)

73.84% (

-0.01)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.76% (

-0.01)

21.23% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.86% (

-0.01)

54.13% (

0.01)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.62% (

0.02)

35.37% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.86% (

0.02)

72.13% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 49.12%

Istanbul Basaksehir 25.43%

Draw 25.44%

Fiorentina	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 49.12%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 25.43%