We said: FC Twente 2-2 Fiorentina (Fiorentina win 4-3 on aggregate)
In front of 30,000 passionate fans, Twente will pose a serious problem for Fiorentina, who are just getting up to speed, having played fewer competitive games thus far. As both sides prefer the front foot, expect more goals at De Grolsch Veste - but it is the Viola who will be celebrating come the final whistle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 49.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.