We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 2-0 Rigas Futbola Skola
Basaksehir are the only side in the UECL yet to concede a goal, and with the likelihood of RFS playing defensively here, that may remain intact.
RFS have lost only two of their last nine UECL games and successfully kept the Turkish side out last week, but Basaksehir should have enough quality to get the job done on home turf.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 25.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Rigas Futbola Skola win it was 0-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.