Dortmund1 - 0Sturm Graz
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, November 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
for
Saturday, November 2 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
for
We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Sturm Graz
Considering the injury crisis that Dortmund are currently facing, it would not be surprising if they conceded first. However, Sturm Graz could find it difficult to hold onto a lead given the hosts' formidable record at home. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 19.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 1-2 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Sturm Graz |
59.36% ( 6.61) | 21.15% ( -2.07) | 19.48% ( -4.54) |
Both teams to score 57% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.69% ( 3.75) | 40.3% ( -3.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.32% ( 3.76) | 62.67% ( -3.76) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.75% ( 3.44) | 13.25% ( -3.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.97% ( 6.55) | 40.02% ( -6.55) |
Sturm Graz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.7% ( -2.1) | 34.3% ( 2.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29% ( -2.32) | 71% ( 2.32) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Sturm Graz |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.67) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.44) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.87) 3-0 @ 6.25% ( 1.12) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.78) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.86) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.33) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.43) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.46) Other @ 3.44% Total : 59.36% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( -1.07) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.83) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.15% | 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.92) 0-1 @ 4.86% ( -1.23) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.85) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.46) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.38) Other @ 2.06% Total : 19.48% |
How you voted: Dortmund vs Sturm Graz
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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