Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 72.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 10.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.