La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Atletico4 - 3Sevilla
We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Sevilla
Sevilla certainly have the players to make this a difficult assignment for Atletico, but Simeone's side are in excellent form at the moment, and we are struggling to see anything other than a routine home success at Wanda Metropolitano on Sunday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Sevilla |
55.73% ( 0.01) | 23.09% ( -0.01) | 21.18% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.22% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
