La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 4, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico
6 - 1
Sevilla

Depay (23', 26'), Griezmann (53'), Carrasco (69'), Morata (76', 90+2')
Gimenez (40')

FT(HT: 2-1)

En-Nesyri (39')
Gueye (25'), Acuna (55'), Montiel (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico
Saturday, February 25 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 2-3 Osasuna
Sunday, February 26 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Sevilla

Sevilla are clearly a lot better than they have shown for much of the season, but this is a very difficult match for Sampaoli's side. Atletico have not been in top form at Wanda Metropolitano in 2022-23, but the Red and Whites impressed at Bernabeu last weekend, and we are expecting them to secure all three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 17.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
58.84% ( 0.67)	23.32% ( -0.49)	17.85% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 47.15% (

1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.06% (

1.61)

51.95% (

-1.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.31% (

1.37)

73.69% (

-1.37)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.63% (

0.83)

17.37% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.23% (

1.43)

47.78% (

-1.43)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.07% (

0.73)

42.94% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.76% (

0.61)

79.24% (

-0.61)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 58.83%

Sevilla 17.85%

Draw 23.31%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 13.05% ( -0.48) 2-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.56% Total : 58.83%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.31%	0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.75% Total : 17.85%