La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 29, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
0 - 1
Atletico

Brasanac (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Niguez (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Sevilla
Wednesday, January 25 at 9pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 3-1 Atletico
Thursday, January 26 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Osasuna 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Despite Osasuna having a strong home record this season, they have lost three times in front of their own fans, while Atletico have been solid on their travels, picking up 17 points from nine matches. It would not be a shock to see a home win or a draw, but we just have a feeling that the visitors could sneak a huge win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Atletico Madrid
23.35% ( -0.55)	25.48% ( -0.09)	51.18% ( 0.64)

Both teams to score 48.72% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.05% (

-0.11)

53.95% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.6% (

-0.09)

75.4% (

0.09)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.75% (

-0.57)

38.24% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25% (

-0.55)

75% (

0.55)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.9% (

0.23)

21.1% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.07% (

0.35)

53.93% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 23.35%

Atletico Madrid 51.17%

Draw 25.47%

Osasuna	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.57% Total : 23.35%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 51.17%