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La Liga
Osauna logo
La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 29, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Atletico Madrid logo

Osasuna
0 - 1
Atletico


Brasanac (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Niguez (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Sevilla
Wednesday, January 25 at 9pm in Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-1 Atletico
Thursday, January 26 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Osasuna 1-2 Atletico Madrid

 Despite Osasuna having a strong home record this season, they have lost three times in front of their own fans, while Atletico have been solid on their travels, picking up 17 points from nine matches. It would not be a shock to see a home win or a draw, but we just have a feeling that the visitors could sneak a huge win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
OsasunaDrawAtletico Madrid
23.35% (-0.55 -0.55) 25.48% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 51.18% (0.642 0.64)
Both teams to score 48.72% (-0.304 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.05% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)53.95% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)75.4% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.75% (-0.568 -0.57)38.24% (0.571 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25% (-0.551 -0.55)75% (0.55300000000001 0.55)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (0.229 0.23)21.1% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07% (0.354 0.35)53.93% (-0.352 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 23.35%
    Atletico Madrid 51.17%
    Draw 25.47%
OsasunaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.76% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-1 @ 5.8% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-0 @ 3.73% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.86% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.35%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 12.55% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 9.77% (0.176 0.18)
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.07% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.87% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.97% (0.062 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 51.17%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Atletico

Osasuna
14.7%
Draw
14.7%
Atletico Madrid
70.6%
109
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3.15pm
Osasuna
0-3
Atletico

Avila (34')
Felix (3'), Suarez (59'), Correa (89')
Vrsaljko (54'), Serrano (90')
Nov 20, 2021 5.30pm
Atletico
1-0
Osasuna
Felipe (87')
Griezmann (45'), Martin (89')

Torro (56'), Garcia (82')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
Atletico
2-1
Osasuna
Lodi (82'), Suarez (88')
Suarez (89')
Budimir (75')
Budimir (76'), Brasanac (84')
Oct 31, 2020 5.30pm
Osasuna
1-3
Atletico
Budimir (80')
Herrera (42')
Felix (43' pen., 69'), Torreira (88')
Koke (72'), Llorente (91')
Jun 17, 2020 9pm
Osasuna
0-5
Atletico
> Preview
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Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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