La Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
We said: Osasuna 1-1 Mallorca
Seven of the last nine La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, and we have had to settle on another draw here. Osasuna are yet to draw a home league game this term, but Mallorca's away record is relatively strong, and we believe that the points will be shared on Saturday.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 40.89% . A win for Mallorca had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.91%) . The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (10.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match.
Result Osasuna Draw Mallorca 40.89% ( 0.08) 28.37% ( 0.03) 30.73% ( -0.11)
Both teams to score 45.78% ( -0.13)
39.68% ( -0.15) 60.31% ( 0.14)
19.52% ( -0.11) 80.48% ( 0.11)
71.04% ( -0.03) 28.96% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.15% ( -0.03) 64.85% ( 0.03)
64.44% ( -0.17) 35.55% ( 0.16)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.68% ( -0.17) 72.32% ( 0.16)
Osasuna 40.89%
Mallorca 30.72%
Draw 28.36%
Osasuna Draw Mallorca 1-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 40.89% 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.36% 0-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 30.72%
How you voted: Osasuna vs Mallorca
46
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-24 12:43:31
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