League One | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Stevenage2 - 0Northampton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Wigan 2-1 Northampton
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Goals
for
for
19
We said: Stevenage 0-1 Northampton Town
Both clubs have struggled for form this season, though Stevenage have a commendable defensive record and Northampton are facing a major injury crisis. However, Jon Brady's team have managed to score 19 goals this term despite their circumstances, eight more than Revell's side, and this greater attacking threat could see them come out narrow winners on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 21.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Northampton Town |
52.98% ( -0.38) | 25.65% ( 0.4) | 21.37% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.95% ( -1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.6% ( -1.46) | 56.4% ( 1.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.59% ( -1.19) | 77.41% ( 1.19) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.66% ( -0.75) | 21.34% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.7% ( -1.16) | 54.3% ( 1.16) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.41% ( -0.87) | 41.59% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.92% ( -0.77) | 78.07% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
Stevenage 52.97%
Northampton Town 21.37%
Draw 25.64%
| Stevenage | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.12% Total : 52.97% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.49)2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.16% Total : 21.37% |
How you voted: Stevenage vs Northampton
Stevenage
26.1%Draw
13.0%Northampton Town
60.9%23
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Northampton
0-1
Stevenage
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Stevenage
2-3
Northampton
Form Guide
