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Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Lamex Stadium
Northampton Town

Stevenage
1 - 2
Northampton

Lines (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGowan (18'), Pinnock (50')
Hoskins (68'), Rose (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 4-2 Salford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 0-2 Northampton Town

With 10 games to the end of the season, both sides find themselves at opposite ends of the league standings, with Northampton Town being the superior side. Looking at the gulf in class and quality between the two sides and the recent history of this fixture, we are tipping the Cobblers to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawNorthampton Town
29.59%27.98%42.43%
Both teams to score 46.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.67%59.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.28%79.73%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.1%35.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.33%72.68%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36%27.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82%63.19%
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 29.58%
    Northampton Town 42.42%
    Draw 27.98%
StevenageDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 6.7%
2-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 2.29%
3-0 @ 1.78%
3-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 29.58%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.92%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 12.75%
1-2 @ 8.4%
0-2 @ 8.2%
1-3 @ 3.6%
0-3 @ 3.52%
2-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 1.16%
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 42.42%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Northampton

Stevenage
26.7%
Draw
13.3%
Northampton Town
60.0%
15
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Northampton
3-0
Stevenage
Etete (34'), Hoskins (43'), Horsfall (63')
Lewis (88')

Reeves (12'), Vancooten (54'), Reid (56'), Coker (73')
Nov 17, 2020 7pm
Northampton
0-0
Stevenage
Northampton win 4-2 on penalties

Iontton (60')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Northampton
1-0
Stevenage
Williams (94')
Harriman (40'), Anderson (45'), Hoskins (57'), Wharton (78')

Timlin (28'), Soares (51'), List (74'), Nugent (81')
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
Stevenage
0-1
Northampton

Stokes (21'), Wildin (41'), Farman (67')
Smith (56')
Turnbull (25'), Goode (38'), McWilliams (64'), Smith (67'), Oliver (80')
Smith (68')
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
Stevenage
1-2
Northampton
Revell (79')
Timlin (51'), Farman (93')
Powell (19'), Williams (91')
Powell (14'), Goode (47'), O'Toole (64'), Hoskins (87'), Foley (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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