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Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Lamex Stadium
Northampton Town

Stevenage
1 - 2
Northampton

Lines (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGowan (18'), Pinnock (50')
Hoskins (68'), Rose (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 4-2 Salford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 0-2 Northampton Town

With 10 games to the end of the season, both sides find themselves at opposite ends of the league standings, with Northampton Town being the superior side. Looking at the gulf in class and quality between the two sides and the recent history of this fixture, we are tipping the Cobblers to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawNorthampton Town
29.59%27.98%42.43%
Both teams to score 46.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.67%59.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.28%79.73%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.1%35.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.33%72.68%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36%27.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82%63.19%
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 29.58%
    Northampton Town 42.42%
    Draw 27.98%
StevenageDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 6.7%
2-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 2.29%
3-0 @ 1.78%
3-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 29.58%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.92%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 12.75%
1-2 @ 8.4%
0-2 @ 8.2%
1-3 @ 3.6%
0-3 @ 3.52%
2-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 1.16%
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 42.42%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Northampton

Stevenage
26.7%
Draw
13.3%
Northampton Town
60.0%
15
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Northampton
3-0
Stevenage
Etete (34'), Hoskins (43'), Horsfall (63')
Lewis (88')

Reeves (12'), Vancooten (54'), Reid (56'), Coker (73')
Nov 17, 2020 7pm
Northampton
0-0
Stevenage
Northampton win 4-2 on penalties

Iontton (60')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Northampton
1-0
Stevenage
Williams (94')
Harriman (40'), Anderson (45'), Hoskins (57'), Wharton (78')

Timlin (28'), Soares (51'), List (74'), Nugent (81')
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
Stevenage
0-1
Northampton

Stokes (21'), Wildin (41'), Farman (67')
Smith (56')
Turnbull (25'), Goode (38'), McWilliams (64'), Smith (67'), Oliver (80')
Smith (68')
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
Stevenage
1-2
Northampton
Revell (79')
Timlin (51'), Farman (93')
Powell (19'), Williams (91')
Powell (14'), Goode (47'), O'Toole (64'), Hoskins (87'), Foley (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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