League Two

League Two | Gameweek 46

May 7, 2022 at 3pm UK

Holker Street

Barrow
1 - 3
Northampton

Kay (45')
Kay (45+1'), Grayson (80')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Hoskins (5', 22'), Horsfall (14')
Hoskins (49'), Rose (77')
Roberts (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

Last Six:

Last Game: Barrow 1-3 Northampton
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
21	Stevenage	46	-23	47
22	Barrow	46	-13	44
23	Oldham Athletic	46	-29	38

Northampton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Mansfield
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80
4	Northampton Town	46	22	80
5	Port Vale	46	21	78

We said: Barrow 1-2 Northampton Town

While Barrow will play without fear in their final fixture of the season, and have certainly improved in recent weeks, their visitors' need for three points is substantially greater. The heat is on for Northampton, who cannot afford to merely hope that others slip up, so they will press on in search of a 23rd win of the season to take the final step back to League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Barrow	Draw	Northampton Town
37.3%	27.62%	35.08%

Both teams to score 48.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.18%

56.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.25%

77.75%

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.65%

29.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.67%

65.33%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.27%

30.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.01%

66.99%

Score Analysis

Barrow 37.3%

Northampton Town 35.08%

Draw 27.61%

Barrow	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 8% 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.51% Total : 37.3%	1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.02% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.61%	0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 6.28% 1-3 @ 3.03% 0-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.11% Total : 35.08%