Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 22.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.