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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Real Sociedad logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Real Sociedad

Sancet (26')
Prados (41'), Ruiz de Galarreta (76'), Berchiche (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zubeldia (21'), Lopez (53'), Aguerd (90+1'), Sucic (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jove Espanol 0-5 Real Sociedad
Thursday, November 21 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Sociedad

There has not actually been a La Liga draw between these two sides since October 2021, with the last five meetings in Spain's top flight producing a winner; we are finding it difficult to back either with any real confidence here, though, and the points may ultimately be shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Sociedad
31.43% (-5.21 -5.21) 29.23% (-0.896 -0.9) 39.34% (6.105 6.11)
Both teams to score 43.69% (1.984 1.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37% (2.563 2.56)63% (-2.562 -2.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.53% (1.816 1.82)82.47% (-1.815 -1.82)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.51% (-2.251 -2.25)36.49% (2.252 2.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.72% (-2.344 -2.34)73.28% (2.346 2.35)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.79% (5.37 5.37)31.21% (-5.369 -5.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.45% (5.818 5.82)67.55% (-5.818 -5.82)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 31.42%
    Real Sociedad 39.34%
    Draw 29.22%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 11.47% (-1.95 -1.95)
2-1 @ 6.74% (-0.497 -0.5)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-1.407 -1.41)
3-1 @ 2.27% (-0.32 -0.32)
3-0 @ 1.95% (-0.625 -0.63)
3-2 @ 1.32% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 31.42%
1-1 @ 13.36% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 11.38% (-1.14 -1.14)
2-2 @ 3.92% (0.285 0.29)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.22%
0-1 @ 13.26% (0.67 0.67)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.996 1)
0-2 @ 7.72% (1.387 1.39)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.746 0.75)
0-3 @ 3% (0.873 0.87)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.303 0.3)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 39.34%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad

Athletic Bilbao
51.9%
Draw
36.1%
Real Sociedad
12.0%
108
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Real Sociedad
Berenguer (30', 42')
Gomez (90+3')
Oyarzabal (88')
Barrenetxea (61'), Merino (90'), Elustondo (90+3'), Le Normand (90+2')
Sep 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Real Sociedad
3-0
Athletic Bilbao
Le Normand (30'), Kubo (48'), Oyarzabal (66')
Merino (44'), Zubeldia (77')

Herrera (29'), Vivian (44')
Apr 15, 2023 3.15pm
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Real Sociedad
3-1
Athletic Bilbao
Sorloth (25'), Kubo (37'), Oyarzabal (62' pen.)
Sancet (40')
Feb 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
Athletic Bilbao
4-0
Real Sociedad
Vivian (68'), Sancet (72'), Williams (80'), Muniain (89')
Garcia (5'), Martinez (37'), Garcia (55'), Berenguer (90+4')

Silva (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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