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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Real Sociedad logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Real Sociedad

Sancet (26')
Prados (41'), Ruiz de Galarreta (76'), Berchiche (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zubeldia (21'), Lopez (53'), Aguerd (90+1'), Sucic (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jove Espanol 0-5 Real Sociedad
Thursday, November 21 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Sociedad

There has not actually been a La Liga draw between these two sides since October 2021, with the last five meetings in Spain's top flight producing a winner; we are finding it difficult to back either with any real confidence here, though, and the points may ultimately be shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Sociedad
31.43% (-5.21 -5.21) 29.23% (-0.896 -0.9) 39.34% (6.105 6.11)
Both teams to score 43.69% (1.984 1.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37% (2.563 2.56)63% (-2.562 -2.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.53% (1.816 1.82)82.47% (-1.815 -1.82)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.51% (-2.251 -2.25)36.49% (2.252 2.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.72% (-2.344 -2.34)73.28% (2.346 2.35)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.79% (5.37 5.37)31.21% (-5.369 -5.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.45% (5.818 5.82)67.55% (-5.818 -5.82)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 31.42%
    Real Sociedad 39.34%
    Draw 29.22%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 11.47% (-1.95 -1.95)
2-1 @ 6.74% (-0.497 -0.5)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-1.407 -1.41)
3-1 @ 2.27% (-0.32 -0.32)
3-0 @ 1.95% (-0.625 -0.63)
3-2 @ 1.32% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 31.42%
1-1 @ 13.36% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 11.38% (-1.14 -1.14)
2-2 @ 3.92% (0.285 0.29)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.22%
0-1 @ 13.26% (0.67 0.67)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.996 1)
0-2 @ 7.72% (1.387 1.39)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.746 0.75)
0-3 @ 3% (0.873 0.87)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.303 0.3)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 39.34%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad

Athletic Bilbao
51.9%
Draw
36.1%
Real Sociedad
12.0%
108
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Real Sociedad
Berenguer (30', 42')
Gomez (90+3')
Oyarzabal (88')
Barrenetxea (61'), Merino (90'), Elustondo (90+3'), Le Normand (90+2')
Sep 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Real Sociedad
3-0
Athletic Bilbao
Le Normand (30'), Kubo (48'), Oyarzabal (66')
Merino (44'), Zubeldia (77')

Herrera (29'), Vivian (44')
Apr 15, 2023 3.15pm
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Real Sociedad
3-1
Athletic Bilbao
Sorloth (25'), Kubo (37'), Oyarzabal (62' pen.)
Sancet (40')
Feb 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
Athletic Bilbao
4-0
Real Sociedad
Vivian (68'), Sancet (72'), Williams (80'), Muniain (89')
Garcia (5'), Martinez (37'), Garcia (55'), Berenguer (90+4')

Silva (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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