La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla
We said: Real Valladolid 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Real Valladolid will certainly be the fresher of the two teams heading into this contest, and they are capable of making it difficult for Athletic. The Lions can call upon the greater quality all across the field, though, and we are backing the visitors to win this one relatively comfortably ahead of the November international break.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 43.34% . A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.8% .
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.4%) . The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood .
Result Real Valladolid Draw Athletic Bilbao 28.85% ( 0.09) 27.81% ( 0.04) 43.34% ( -0.13)
Both teams to score 46.5% ( -0.07)
40.99% ( -0.11) 59.01% ( 0.11)
20.52% ( -0.09) 79.47% ( 0.09)
63.7% ( 0.01) 36.3% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.92% ( 0.01) 73.08% ( -0.01)
73% ( -0.12) 27% ( 0.12)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 37.64% ( -0.16) 62.36% ( 0.16)
Real Valladolid 28.85%
Athletic Bilbao 43.34%
Draw 27.81%
Real Valladolid Draw Athletic Bilbao 1-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 28.85% 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.81% 0-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 43.34%
How you voted: Valladolid vs Athletic Bilbao
Real Valladolid
Draw
Athletic Bilbao
79
rhs 2.0
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