La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 14

Nov 8, 2022 at 7pm UK

San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 0
Valladolid

Guruzeta (18', 51'), Vivian (78')
Guruzeta (45+1'), Herrera (49'), Vencedor (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Monchu (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Friday, November 4 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 2-1 Elche
Saturday, November 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Valladolid

Real Valladolid will enter this match full of confidence, but the same cannot be said for Athletic due to their recent struggles. Athletic will be the favourites on Tuesday, but Real Valladolid's form deserves a lot of respect, and we are backing the visitors to secure a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Valladolid
60.74% ( 0.68)	22.97% ( -0.18)	16.29% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 45.2% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.04% (

-0.07)

52.96% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.44% (

-0.06)

74.56% (

0.06)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.94% (

0.22)

17.06% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.77% (

0.38)

47.23% (

-0.37)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.49% (

-0.68)

45.51% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.66% (

-0.55)

81.34% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 60.73%

Real Valladolid 16.29%

Draw 22.96%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 13.72% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 60.73%	1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.64% Total : 22.96%	0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.41% Total : 16.29%