La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Athletic Bilbao0 - 1Atletico
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 0-0 Brugge
Wednesday, October 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Wednesday, October 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League
We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Atletico Madrid
Athletic will certainly be the fresher of the two sides on Saturday, and their form this season has been very impressive. Atletico are always difficult to back against due to their mentality, though, and we have a feeling that a tight match at San Mames will end in a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
42.65% ( 0.07) | 28.35% ( 0) | 29.01% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.13% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
