La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 32

Apr 25, 2021 at 8pm UK

San Mames

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 1
Atletico

Berenguer (8'), Martinez (86')
Sancet (44'), Vencedor (61'), Garcia (66'), Lopez (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Savic (77')
Llorente (11'), Torreira (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 23.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Atletico Madrid
23.21%	26.62%	50.18%

Both teams to score 45.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.81%

58.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.16%

78.84%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.23%

40.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.65%

77.35%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.69%

23.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.75%

57.26%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 23.21%

Atletico Madrid 50.17%

Draw 26.61%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.53% 2-1 @ 5.57% 2-0 @ 3.83% 3-1 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.21% 3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.26% Total : 23.21%	1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 9.5% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 13.84% 0-2 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 9.04% 0-3 @ 4.89% 1-3 @ 4.39% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.59% Total : 50.17%