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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 25, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Mames
Atletico Madrid logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 1
Atletico

Berenguer (8'), Martinez (86')
Sancet (44'), Vencedor (61'), Garcia (66'), Lopez (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Savic (77')
Llorente (11'), Torreira (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 23.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
23.21%26.62%50.18%
Both teams to score 45.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.81%58.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16%78.84%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23%40.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65%77.35%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69%23.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75%57.26%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 23.21%
    Atletico Madrid 50.17%
    Draw 26.61%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.53%
2-1 @ 5.57%
2-0 @ 3.83%
3-1 @ 1.67%
3-2 @ 1.21%
3-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 23.21%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 9.5%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 13.84%
0-2 @ 10.07%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-3 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 4.39%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-4 @ 1.78%
1-4 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 50.17%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico

Athletic Bilbao
19.5%
Draw
18.7%
Atletico Madrid
61.8%
123
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 18
Atletico
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Llorente (45+2'), Suarez (51' pen.)
Felipe (43'), Lodi (90+4')
Muniain (21')
de Marcos (38'), Vesga (41')
Jun 14, 2020 1pm
Oct 26, 2019 8pm
Mar 16, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Atletico
Williams (73'), Kodro (85')
Garcia (37'), San Jose (77'), Alvarez (82')

Rodrigo (45')
Nov 10, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Atletico
3-2
Athletic Bilbao
Partey (61'), Rodri (80'), Godin (90')
Costa (38'), Kalinic (66'), Vitolo (66'), Adan (66'), Correa (90')
Williams (36', 64')
Etxebarria (49'), San Jose (82'), de Marcos (86'), Martinez (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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