La Liga | Gameweek 18
Mar 10, 2021 at 6pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Atletico2 - 1Athletic Bilbao
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 45% | 27.21% | 27.79% |
| Both teams to score 47.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.64% | 57.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.82% | 78.18% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.6% | 25.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.79% | 60.21% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.75% | 36.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.96% | 73.04% |
| Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid 45%
Athletic Bilbao 27.79%
Draw 27.21%
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 12.62% 2-1 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.24% Total : 45% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 9.21% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 9.34% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 1.9% Total : 27.79% |
How you voted: Atletico vs Athletic Bilbao
Atletico Madrid
74.7%Draw
19.7%Athletic Bilbao
5.6%360
Head to Head
Jun 14, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 28
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Atletico
Oct 26, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 10
Atletico
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Feb 18, 2018 3.15pm
Form Guide
