La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 18

Mar 10, 2021 at 6pm UK

Vicente Calderon Stadium

Atletico
2 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Llorente (45+2'), Suarez (51' pen.)
Felipe (43'), Lodi (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Muniain (21')
de Marcos (38'), Vesga (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
45%	27.21%	27.79%

Both teams to score 47.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.64%

57.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.82%

78.18%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.6%

25.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.79%

60.21%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.75%

36.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.96%

73.04%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 45%

Athletic Bilbao 27.79%

Draw 27.21%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 12.62% 2-1 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.24% Total : 45%	1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 9.21% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.21%	0-1 @ 9.34% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 1.9% Total : 27.79%