Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
26.07% | 26.93% | 47% |
Both teams to score 47.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.7% | 57.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.86% | 78.14% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.34% | 37.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.56% | 74.44% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.6% | 24.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.18% | 58.82% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 6.18% 2-0 @ 4.38% 3-1 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.43% 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.68% Total : 26.07% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 12.96% 0-2 @ 9.14% 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-3 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 4.2% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-4 @ 1.52% 1-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.42% Total : 47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |