Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
