Hong Kong2 - 0Macao
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, October 17 at 12.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
We said: Hong Kong 3-0 Macao
With home advantage, superior quality in their squad and a much stronger recent record, we can only envisage Hong Kong cruising to a victory on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 78.71%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Macao had a probability of 7.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Macao win it was 1-2 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Hong Kong in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hong Kong.
| Result | ||
| Hong Kong | Draw | Macao |
78.71% ( 0.41) | 13.4% ( -0.29) | 7.89% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.68% ( 0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.67% ( 1.13) | 31.33% ( -1.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.22% ( 1.32) | 52.78% ( -1.32) |
| Hong Kong Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.69% ( 0.32) | 6.31% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 76.25% ( 0.87) | 23.75% ( -0.87) |
| Macao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.09% ( 0.58) | 45.9% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.35% ( 0.45) | 81.65% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hong Kong | Draw | Macao |
| 2-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.09)6-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.08)6-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.08)5-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.93% Total : 78.7% | 1-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.92% Total : 13.4% | 1-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.2% Total : 7.89% |
