World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 1st Leg
Oct 12, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Myanmar5 - 1Macao
Moe Aung (39', 90+5'), Moe Kyaw (62'), Aung Kaung (81'), Nay Moe (90+1')
Aung Kaung (83')
Aung Kaung (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Torrao (55')
Seng Ng (42'), Torrao (48')
Seng Ng (42'), Torrao (48')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between Myanmar and Macao.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Myanmar 1-0 Nepal
Monday, September 11 at 11.30am in International Friendlies
Monday, September 11 at 11.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Cambodia 4-0 Macao
Monday, September 11 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Monday, September 11 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Myanmar win with a probability of 83.04%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Macao had a probability of 4.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Myanmar win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.96%) and 1-0 (12.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.63%), while for a Macao win it was 0-1 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Myanmar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Myanmar | Draw | Macao |
83.04% ( 0.01) | 12.5% ( -0.01) | 4.46% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 32.37% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
