Friendlies 3

Sep 11, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Stade Rene Gaillard

Myanmar
1 - 0
Nepal

Tun Win (86')
Oo Yan (22'), (90+3'), (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Chaudhary (39'), Lamichhane (49'), Chemjong (90'), Chemzong Kumar Limbu (90')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Myanmar and Nepal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Myanmar

Last Game: Myanmar 0-0 Nepal
Friday, September 8 at 11.30am in International Friendlies

Nepal

Last Game: Myanmar 0-0 Nepal
Friday, September 8 at 11.30am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Myanmar win with a probability of 75.53%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 8.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Myanmar win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.45%) and 3-0 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Nepal win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Myanmar would win this match.

Result
Myanmar	Draw	Nepal
75.53% ( -0.16)	15.92% ( 0.08)	8.55% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 43.8% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.33% (

-0.1)

41.66% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.93% (

-0.1)

64.06% (

0.1)

Myanmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.64% (

-0.06)

9.35% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.48% (

-0.15)

31.52% (

0.15)

Nepal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.32% (

0.11)

51.68% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.2% (

0.07)

85.79% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Myanmar 75.51%

Nepal 8.55%

Draw 15.92%

Myanmar	Draw	Nepal
2-0 @ 13.56% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.38% 6-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.32% Total : 75.51%	1-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.57% Total : 15.92%	0-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 8.55%